KIWOOM EQUITY MORNING RESEARCH OCTOBER 04, 2021
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04 Oct 2021

Market Prediction

Last week, JCI rose 1.37% to the level of 6,286. The sectoral indexes that surged last week were the energy and industrial sectors with an increase of 17.76% and 7.10% respectively.

In addition, the increase in JCI was also driven by market optimism in responding to the release of expansionary manufacturing data above level of 52.2.

JCI closed down with a bearish candle. The stochastic indicator is in the overbought area, MACD histogram is moving positive (bullish line) and volume is falling. If JCI is bullish again, it could strengthen again to the resistance at the range of 6,286 – 6,306. If JCI moves bearish, JCI is expected to fall again to close the gap area to support at the range of 6,162 – 6,174.


Commodities Review

  • Crude oil settled above US$ 75 per barrel at the end of trading Friday (1/10/2021). The position was slightly below a three-year high hit earlier this week, amid expectations that OPEC ministers will maintain a steady pace in increasing their supply. 


Macro Economic News

  • The Bank of Japan's index for big manufacturers' sentiment rose to 18 in Q3 of 2021 from 14 in Q2 and above market consensus of 13.
  • The consumer confidence index in Japan was up 1.1 points from the previous month to 37.8 in September of 2021. It was the strongest reading since February 2020.
  • Indonesia's annual inflation inched up to 1.60 percent in September of 2021 but slightly below forecasts of 1.69 percent.
  • Personal spending in the US rose 0.8% mom in August of 2021, rebounding from a 0.1% drop in July and beating market forecasts of a 0.6% gain, a sign the economic recovery is gaining traction after a summer slowdown due to the spread of the coronavirus delta variant.
  • Personal income in the United States rose 0.2 percent from a month earlier in August 2021, following a 1.1 percent advance in July and slightly missing market expectations of a 0.3 percent gain.


Corporate news

  • The performance of PT Multi Indocitra Tbk (MICE) grew in the first semester of 2021. MICE posted net sales of IDR 357.28 billion. The amount was raised by 8.45 percent compared to the same period last year of IDR 329.41 billion.
  • PT Central Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (CENT) during the first six months of 2021 had to settle for a loss for the current year which was recorded at IDR 238.81 billion, up from a net loss of IDR 21.81 billion in the same period in 2020.
  • PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) obtained a US$ 55 million loan facility from Deutsche Bank AG's Singapore branch to finance the production of Bentu's gas assets.




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